Notes
Slide Show
Outline
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The US  Economy
  • A brief analysis of the world’s largest economy
  • by John Birchall
  • Bishops Stortford College
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A brief economic history
  • For 100 years after Columbus traders journeyed to New World
  • Pilgrims arrived in Massachusetts and more business minded people made their home in Virginia
  • Charter companies began to exploit the resources of East US
  • Settlers developed own interests and structures
  • Industry began with farming, some plantations and exports of rice, tobacco and dyes
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Brief history - 2
  • Supportive industries then appeared e.g saw mills, ship building,iron forges.
  • Plantations, using slave labour started
  • Living standards began to be better than in UK
  • By 1770 self-government wanted
  • War of Independence won and New Nation emerged in 1787
  • Adopts new constitution. New nation from Maine to Georgia - a common market
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Brief history - 3
  • Federal government provided the legal framework and States developed within this
  • Intellectual property recognised
  • tariffs imposed to protect infant industries
  • First National Bank started in 1791
  • With invention of cotton gin the trade boomed
  • Moved economy south and westwards
  • National roads and waterways created at start of nineteenth century


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Brief history - 4
  • Steam boats start to run over larger distances
  • railroads arrive
  • foreign capital attracted and industrialisation begins


  • By 1860 16% of population living in cities
  • one third of national wealth created by manufacturing
  • Immigrants start to arrive in large numbers
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Brief history - 5
  • South remained more rural
  • Northern victory in civil war determined future direction of economy
  • end of slave labour
  • planter power diminishes
  • Industrialists begin to control economy
  • discoveries, such as oil drive new nation on
  • typewriter invented, telephone, phonograph, electric light bulb, refrigeration on railroads
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Brief history - 6
  • Industrial infrastructure develops e.g coal, iron mines, copper, silver lead and cement factories emerge
  • mass production starts
  • scientific management
  • Rich business men became national heroes
  • fierce competition and some questionable tactics
  • government begins to react to business
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Brief history - 7
  • Gospel of work and thrift
  • philanthropic gifts to universities etc
  • risk and excitement deliver increases in living standards
  • corporations emerge
  • New management elite start to appear
  • the Gilded Age moves into twentieth century
  • largest economy in world
  • little foreign involvement
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The role of government
  • In early years Federal government only in transport
  • laissez-faire economy
  • begins to change in latter part of nineteenth century
  • farmers start to ask for help
  • Fear of corruption in government starts new political movements
  • Railroad Act in 1887 and government begins to create Federal Agencies e.g Food and Drug Administration
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The role of government - 2
  • The New Deal of 1930’s deepens government involvement
  • Federal authority extended into banking, agriculture and public welfare
  • minimum wage established
  • Securities and Exchange Commission started
  • Social Security system introduced
  • More central control introduced throughout 1930’s and during war
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The post war economy - 1
  • Consumer boom followed peace
  • Not depression some feared when war spending ended
  • GNP up from $200000m in 1940 to $300000m in 1950 to $500000m in 1960
  • Military spending continued as Iron Curtain emerged
  • Marshall Plan
  • Employment Act 1946 ‘ promote maximum employment, production and purchasing power.’
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Post war economy - 2
  • Consolidation in business - communications, hotels, insurance, car rentals
  • by 1956 majority of workers in white-collar jobs
  • unions win good terms of employment
  • Agriculture faces tougher times
  • By 1998 just 3.4 m in agriculture had been 7.9m at end of war
  • suburban migration grows
  • air conditioning becomes popular
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Post war economy - 3
  • ‘Sun belts’ e.g Houston grow in popularity
  • shopping malls begin to flourish
  • industry begins to move ‘out of town’
  • New, powerful states emerge in place such as Florida, Georgia, Arizona and Texas
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Post war economy - 4
  • 1960/70’s times of considerable change
  • new nations, insurgent groups, challenges to US supremacy
  • Kennedy era - New Frontier.
  • Space, Peace Corps, help for elderly
  • Post Kennedy Johnson wanted a Great Society
  • Medicare, Food Stamps, increased military expenditure/Vietnam
  • But government revenues do not rise
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Post war economy - 5
  • Rising inflation, OPEC problems, rises in unemployment, Federal deficits up, foreign competition increases, stock market sags
  • Fear that nation is losing control. Nixon goes
  • Imports up, trade deficit grows.
  • Stagflation becomes the new problem
  • expectations push up prices, higher wages follow, labour contracts have ‘cost of living’ clauses
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Post war economy - 6
  • Government spending rises to protect vulnerable
  • economy sees prices rise and unemployment
  • Carter tries to break spiral
  • De-regulation starts e.g airlines
  • Federal Reserve Board clamps down on inflationary trends
  • control of money supply
  • interest rates rise, recession follows
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Post war economy - 7
  • Recession deepened into 1982
  • Cycle broken by early 1983-prices fall, growth returns
  • Reagan bases polices on supply-side doctrine
  • Lower taxes, more savings, more investment, more output, overall economic growth
  • Federal government too big - Reagan
  • Increase military spending
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Post war economy - 8
  • Federal budget swells to -$221000m in 1986.
  • But not all winning - farmers lose, especially in drought areas, banking crisis, some fear it will all end in pain
  • External push in policy - communism falls
  • Asia - beginning to hurt US supremacy
  • ‘Corporate raiders’ strike in US, as stock prices are low
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Post war economy - 9
  • !990’s see Clinton elected
  • declares end of big government and fails with Medicare reforms
  • opens -up markets e.g local telephone services
  • Reduces welfare benefits
  • Fall of USSR and satellite states open up new business
  • Dow Jones end decade on 11000, had been 1000 in 1979
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Post war economy - 10
  • Framing continues to decline
  • service sector expands
  • deficit peaks in 92 and falls
  • New Economy? Low inflation, high employment, high growth?
  • US grows in its interdependence with global economy
  • NAFTA formed. Look to EU as base for sourcing markets
  • Decade ends with new feeling of confidence


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Conclusion
  • Economy grew from February 91 till end of decade - longest in peacetime
  • unemployment just 4.1% of workforce - lowest for 30 years
  • inflation low
  • Growth high
  • global presence expanding
  • Asian markets suffer downturn
  • US in good shape and confident
  • Major locomotive economy in world