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Welcome to Johnbirchall-economist.com!
(
Future Enlargement of the European Union )


Bosnia-Herzegovina

 

Is not expected to join the EU until 2015 at the earliest.

Ten years after the 1992-5 war, it has started talks on a Stability and Association Agreement (SAA) with the EU, but has not yet applied for membership.

The EU maintains a peacekeeping force and a police mission in Bosnia.

The promise of eventual membership is seen as a diplomatic tool that promotes stability. The memory of the wars in Yugoslavia remains too strong for the offer to be withdrawn.

 

Population: 4.2 million (UN, 2005)

Capital: Sarajevo

Area: 51,129 sq km (19,741 sq miles)

Major languages: Bosnian, Croatian and Serbian

Major religions: Christianity, Islam

Life expectancy: 71 years (men), 77 years (women) (UN)

Monetary unit: 1 convertible marka = 100 convertible pfenniga

Main exports: Wood and paper, metal products

GNI per capita: US $2,440 (World Bank, 2006)

 

 

Croatia

 

Applied for membership: February 2003 Confirmed as candidate country: June 2004 Negotiations started: October 2005

Accession talks began seven months late, after Croatia convinced the EU it was doing its best to find war crimes suspect Gen Ante Gotovina.

Croatia wants to join by 2009, a goal which EU Enlargement Commissioner Olli Rehn describes as "ambitious but realistic".

The EU is urging Croatia to reform its judiciary and public administration, tackle corruption, ensure minority rights, and keep co-operating with the international war crimes tribunal.

 

Population: 4.4 million (UN, 2005)

Capital: Zagreb

Area: 56,594 sq km (21,851 sq km)

Major language: Croatian

Major religion: Christianity

Life expectancy: 71 years (men), 78 years (women) (UN)

Monetary unit: 1 kuna = 100 lipa

Main exports: Machinery and transport equipment, clothing, chemicals

GNI per capita: US $8,060 (World Bank, 2006)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Macedonia

 

Macedonia applied for EU membership in March 2004 and obtained candidate status in December 2005.

No date has been set for membership talks to begin.

The European Commission welcomed the peaceful elections held in July 2006, and said an assessment of the country's preparedness for membership talks would be made in autumn.

A date of 2012 has been suggested as a possible target for the country to join the EU.

 

Population: 2 million (UN, 2003)

Capital: Skopje

Area: 25,713 sq km (9,928 sq miles)

Major language: Macedonian, Albanian

Major religion: Christianity, Islam

Life expectancy: 71 years (men), 76 years (women) (UN)

Monetary unit: 1 denar = 100 deni

Main exports: Clothing, iron and steel

GNI per capita: US $2,830 (World Bank, 2006)

 

Montenegro

 

Montenegro's Prime Minister, Milo Djukanovic, has said he hopes his country will succeed in joining the EU before Serbia or Macedonia.

The EU halted Stability and Association Agreement (SAA) talks with the union of Serbia and Montenegro in May 2006, because of Belgrade's failure to send former Bosnian Serb general Ratko Mladic to be tried in The Hague.

The EU will now hold separate SAA negotiations with Montenegro, which could, in theory, be concluded by the end of 2006.

However, diplomats are keen to avoid offending Serbia, especially at a time when talks on Kosovo's status are under way.

 

Population: 620,000 (2003 census)

Administrative capital: Podgorica

Area: 13,812 sq km (5,333 sq miles)

Main religions: Christianity, Islam

Languages: Serbian, Albanian

Life expectancy: 71 years (men), 76 years (women) (UN)

Monetary unit: euro

Main export: Aluminium

 

Serbia

Serbia is not expected to join the EU until 2015 at the earliest.

The union of Serbia and Montenegro opened talks on a Stability and Association Agreement (SAA) with the EU - the first step on the path to membership - in October 2005.

 

But the EU called off the talks in May 2006 because of Belgrade's failure to arrest former Bosnian Serb general Ratko Mladic and send him for trial in The Hague.

 

Officials say that once Gen Mladic has been caught, negotiations could begin again immediately.

 

Population: 7.5 million (2002 census, excludes Kosovo; UN mission estimates Kosovo population as circa 2 million)

Capital: Belgrade

Area: 88,361 sq km (34,116 sq miles) (includes Kosovo)

Major language: Serbian

Major religion: Christianity

Life expectancy: 71 years (men), 76 years (women) (UN)

Monetary unit: Dinar = 100 paras

Main exports: Manufactured goods, food and live animals, machinery and transport equipment

GNI per capita: US $2,680 (World Bank, 2006)

 

 

Others who may join

 

Albania is not expected to join the EU until 2015 at the earliest. It has not yet applied for membership.

The EU and Albania concluded a Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA), seen as the first step towards membership, in June 2006.

The negotiations took three-and-a-half years - three times longer than they took in Croatia's and Macedonia's case.

This is because the EU thought Albania was moving too slowly in the fight against corruption and organised crime.

 

Population: 3.2 million (UN, 2005)

Capital: Tirana

Major language: Albanian

Major religions: Islam, Christianity

Life expectancy: 71 years (men), 77 years (women) (UN)

Monetary unit: 1 lek = 100 qindars

Main exports: Chromium and chrome products, processed foodstuffs

GNI per capita: US $2,580 (World Bank, 2006)

 

Turkey

 

Applied for full membership: 1987

Confirmed as candidate: December 1999

Negotiations started: October 2005

Turkey met the last condition for accession talks in July 2005, when it extended a customs union with the EU to all new member states, including Cyprus.

However, it failed to ratify the customs union and its ports and airports remain closed to Cypriot traffic.

The problem could derail the accession talks, which are expected to continue at least until 2014 even if all goes well.

 

Population: 73.3 million (UN, 2005)

Capital: Ankara

Area: 779,452 sq km (300,948 sq miles)

Major language: Turkish

Major religion: Islam

Life expectancy: 68 years (men), 73 years (women) (UN)

Monetary unit: New Turkish lira

Main exports: Fruit and vegetables, textiles and clothing, iron and steel

GNI per capita: US $4,710 (World Bank, 2006)